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Monday, May 14, 2018

Severe Weather For May 14 and 15

Video Tour of Severe Weather on Radar!


Storm Prediction Center Outlooks

Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Today and Tonight
Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 2 Outlook May 15, 2018
Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 3 Outlook

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Possible Hurricane for end of May 2018

Summer 2018 Forecast



Summer 2018 CAPE Anomaly

June 2018
June 2018 CAPE


July 2018 
July 2018 CAPE
August 2018

August 2018 CAPE

Average Jet Stream (200 MB Height Anomaly)

June 2018
June 2018 200 MB Mean Heights

July 2018
July 2018 200 MB Mean Heights


August 2018
August 2018 200 MB Mean Heights
From Andy's Weather Site
Written and Forecast By: Andrew D. (I am not a certified Meteorologist, I am only a Weather Guru with a SKYWARN Certificate By The NWS.)

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Potential Dangerous Severe Weather For the Central Plans Friday

Potential Dangerous Severe Weather For the Central Plans Friday afternoon and evening. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has an Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather for the Southern Iowa, Arkansas, Missouri, and  Louisiana. All modes of severe weather is likely, and I expect an Particular Dangerous Situation Watch for Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas areas. Here has the potential for major tornado outbreak. 


Severe Weather Risk For Central Planes States
The Video... Note, I Recorded this video just before midnight. The timing for Severe Weather is Today into Tonight. Prime Time Around the dinner hours 4 to 9 PM CT.


Potential Dangerous Ice Storm For WNY And Flooding

Potential Dangerous Ice Storm and Flooding From Saturday, April 14 to Sunday, April 15, Freezing Rain for the Niagara Frontier area. We are looking at the possibility of a major ice storm Saturday Afternoon into Early Sunday Morning before changing to all rain Sunday Afternoon. Wide spread power outages are possible for much of this area. I expect a good amount of ice, anywhere from trace south of Buffalo Orchard Park to half inch for Tonawanda to Southern Niagara Falls to Lockport to Amherst. This area can get as much as an inch of solid ice. Winds will be from the East at 20 to 30 MPH gusts to near 40 MPH. This East Wind isn't good wind direction for trees as their root system isn't made for this direction, and the commendation of ice accumulations are sure concern for power outages. Places where I am most concern with power outages are Kenmore, Tonawanda, Amherst, Wheatfield, Grand Island, North Tonawanda areas. The video is a bit of a drag but I explain what is headed our direction. Followed by the ice, we are looking for a warm up. This warm up changes the rain fall to all rain on Sunday by mid-morning to afternoon. There is a potential for 2 inches plus of rain fall. This may pose a flood risk for areas streams and creeks where flood prone areas such West Senaca and Amherst. Turn Around Don't drown if you see a flooded road way. Report the flooded road to emergency officials. Also the heavy rains and flooding can be particular dangerous with the downed power lines and may also have issues with not seeing a flooded road especially in Amherst area. Stay tuned to your local TV and NWS Weather Radio. You can find more detailed weather from www.weather.gov/buf


The Video...


Thursday, March 1, 2018

Winter storm warning

Winter storm warning for Niagara Frontier of Western New York. Storm totals 8 to 14 in. Locally higher amount of snowfall possible. Winter storm warning is in effect from 4 p.m. today to 1 p.m. Friday. I will have my updated video blog shortly.

Wednesday, February 28, 2018

Winter Storm Watch

Winter storm watch continues to be in effect for Western New York from 9 p.m. Thursday March 1st through Friday evening March 2nd 2018. Winter storm total snowfall accumulation of up to 1 foot of snow and they have ears snow bans pending on elevation. My forecast is slightly different but within the guidelines of the National Weather Service in Buffalo. I am forecasting temperatures ranging from the lower 30s to Upper 20s with snowfall totals ranging from the upper 6 in 2 of to 14 in of snow. Areas north of Orchard Park New York will get higher amounts of snow then Southern Tier. My forecast video on on my forecast odds and current track of everything are below.