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Thursday, April 12, 2018

Potential Dangerous Severe Weather For the Central Plans Friday

Potential Dangerous Severe Weather For the Central Plans Friday afternoon and evening. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has an Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather for the Southern Iowa, Arkansas, Missouri, and  Louisiana. All modes of severe weather is likely, and I expect an Particular Dangerous Situation Watch for Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas areas. Here has the potential for major tornado outbreak. 


Severe Weather Risk For Central Planes States
The Video... Note, I Recorded this video just before midnight. The timing for Severe Weather is Today into Tonight. Prime Time Around the dinner hours 4 to 9 PM CT.


Potential Dangerous Ice Storm For WNY And Flooding

Potential Dangerous Ice Storm and Flooding From Saturday, April 14 to Sunday, April 15, Freezing Rain for the Niagara Frontier area. We are looking at the possibility of a major ice storm Saturday Afternoon into Early Sunday Morning before changing to all rain Sunday Afternoon. Wide spread power outages are possible for much of this area. I expect a good amount of ice, anywhere from trace south of Buffalo Orchard Park to half inch for Tonawanda to Southern Niagara Falls to Lockport to Amherst. This area can get as much as an inch of solid ice. Winds will be from the East at 20 to 30 MPH gusts to near 40 MPH. This East Wind isn't good wind direction for trees as their root system isn't made for this direction, and the commendation of ice accumulations are sure concern for power outages. Places where I am most concern with power outages are Kenmore, Tonawanda, Amherst, Wheatfield, Grand Island, North Tonawanda areas. The video is a bit of a drag but I explain what is headed our direction. Followed by the ice, we are looking for a warm up. This warm up changes the rain fall to all rain on Sunday by mid-morning to afternoon. There is a potential for 2 inches plus of rain fall. This may pose a flood risk for areas streams and creeks where flood prone areas such West Senaca and Amherst. Turn Around Don't drown if you see a flooded road way. Report the flooded road to emergency officials. Also the heavy rains and flooding can be particular dangerous with the downed power lines and may also have issues with not seeing a flooded road especially in Amherst area. Stay tuned to your local TV and NWS Weather Radio. You can find more detailed weather from www.weather.gov/buf


The Video...


Thursday, March 1, 2018

Winter storm warning

Winter storm warning for Niagara Frontier of Western New York. Storm totals 8 to 14 in. Locally higher amount of snowfall possible. Winter storm warning is in effect from 4 p.m. today to 1 p.m. Friday. I will have my updated video blog shortly.

Wednesday, February 28, 2018

Winter Storm Watch

Winter storm watch continues to be in effect for Western New York from 9 p.m. Thursday March 1st through Friday evening March 2nd 2018. Winter storm total snowfall accumulation of up to 1 foot of snow and they have ears snow bans pending on elevation. My forecast is slightly different but within the guidelines of the National Weather Service in Buffalo. I am forecasting temperatures ranging from the lower 30s to Upper 20s with snowfall totals ranging from the upper 6 in 2 of to 14 in of snow. Areas north of Orchard Park New York will get higher amounts of snow then Southern Tier. My forecast video on on my forecast odds and current track of everything are below.


Friday, December 29, 2017

Cold weather continuing, cold weather possibly for January

Cold weather continuing for the next couple of days into the first week of the New Year's. The biggest cold weather to come after the New Year's around the 5th through 7th time frame of January. A back and forth period from mid month of January starting around the 10th of January and ending around the 20th. Some brutally cold air to close the month of January based on the CFS forecast model. The short-term forecast models are back and forth with the warmer condition for the European model for the forecast period starting to 8 to the 14th of January. The GFS solution shows cooler then the European model for this time frame but I am leaning towards the CFS forecast model for Colder Weather than all three of them combined. This CFS solution also showed Colder Weather First for the December forecast sooner than the GFS and European. For this reason only I am leaning towards the CFS forecast.

The video is in detail of what the forecast models are showing but all you need to know is short-term is could be colder than normal approximately 10 to 15 degrees colder here in Western New York what temperature is in the single digits as low and teens as a high and if that is maybe too warm for some of the time. Below is a video discussion of the model output.


The video!


Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Andy's Weather Site Final Winter 2018 Forecast



My Final Forecast Far As Winter 2018.

For more detailed forecast, please comment bellow.

Sources of Web Sites:

http://www.wsbradio.com/weather/early-look-coming-winter/BD0XpN1SYHNxjEIvGWQ9SM/

and

http://kasimsweatherwatcher.com/link-between-easterly-qbo-and-cold-modern-english-winters-confirmed/

We like you to subscribe to our channel and our Blog at http://blog.andysweathersite.com

If you have any suggested links on QBO and forecast maps, please let me know in the comments.